A downward trend in Iron Ore prices worldwide is a symptom of China’s steel demand ceiling.
Industry analysts and observers alike have noticed a
constant drop in the price of steel in India to the tune of 10% over the past
five sessions, presently trading at approximately $70 a tonne. Australian Iron
ore producers have most definitely felt the effects, with the Australian
Central Bank announcing it was expecting a short-term drop in the price of the
raw material.
The reason behind this drop in a viable raw material
like iron ore has to do with changes in the biggest producer and consumer of
steel in the world, China. At a point where global supply of Iron ore is at an
all-time high, and rising, the biggest player in the global steel industry is
making plans to temper their need for steel. A new restriction on the
production of “hot metals” through the winter season in northern China is just
one in a series of steps to developing sustainability practices in a country
plagued by accusations of disregard for the environment.
Recent changes in policy in China will see strict
air pollution control measures near Beijing, from November 15, 2017 to March
15, 2018. This policy dictates that steel mills will only run their furnaces at
50% or less off total utilisation. Coupled with a drop off in the demand for
infrastructure and property in developing regions like Tianjin and Hebei is
another red flag for the demand of steel in China.
With such radical changes coming from China, who for
a long time now has been a major influencer of steel markets globally, the
prices of iron ore will be under pressure for the foreseeable short-term
future.
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